Course description
This advanced course provides a detailed portfolio of techniques to perform model-based Bayesian statistics in (but not restricted to) experimental physics. The course intertwines formal mathematics with computational methods to facilitate the implementation of statistical models tailored to a specific problem. The course will start off with basic concepts on inference and probability theory. Single- and multi-variate linear models will then be discussed along with numerous real-life applications using the R language. Significant emphasis will be put on techniques to assess the adequacy of a model for a given dataset and to compare models between them. The course will then focus on multilevel analyses to identify the global properties of a population of entities. Importantly, the course will emphasise on the pitfalls of statistical modelling that stem from the experimental setup, including sample completeness, biases and sensitivity. Practical implementations of sampling techniques will be presented, including Markov chain Monte-Carlo and nested sampling. The course will finally touch upon non-linear models and the implementation of Gaussian processes and machine learning.
